Sunday, November 5, 2017

Bank employees shouldered worst impact of demonetisation: Unions


As bank customers suffered by waiting in long queues to withdraw their money from November onwards last year, another group of people -- bank employees -- endured the hardship of extended work hours and customer anger.


According to C.H. Venkatachalam, General Secretary of the All India Bank Employees’ Association, the whole experience had left “a big scar in the minds of bankers”. (PTI)

The bank unions said that of the more than 100 persons who lost their lives during the demonetisation chaos, over 10 were bank employees and officers. Das said that despite the enormous amount of extra work put in by the employees, very few were compensated. “Over 50 per cent of employees and officers are yet to get their compensation for the extra work they did during the demonetisation period,” Das said.As bank customers suffered by waiting in long queues to withdraw their money from November onwards last year, another group of people — bank employees — endured the hardship of extended work hours and customer anger. The employees, say bank unions, bore the major brunt of the sudden decision announced on November 8 last year by the Prime Minister. “Banking personnel were rigorously working towards recovery of bad loans before the announcement of demonetisation, but the entire drive of recovery got derailed after the announcement as employees had to work day and night for giving service to depositors,” Sanjay Das, Assistant General Secretary of the All India Bank Officers’ Confederation, told IANS.
According to C.H. Venkatachalam, General Secretary of the All India Bank Employees’ Association, the whole experience had left “a big scar in the minds of bankers”. He said a million bank employees handling 1,000 million people coming to branches to deposit old notes was certainly a big task. He said the bankers were abused by the general public for not disbursing new notes and diverting the same to others. “The RBI made matters worse by saying that sufficient number of new notes were disbursed to banks,” he added.
He said the bank managements were not bothered about the problems faced by branch officials. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) also asked bankers to work on Saturdays and Sundays. Officials in the branch were in office till late in the evening. Although some clerical staff, he said, were paid overtime, officers were left out.
Pradip Biswas, General Secretary of the Bank Employees Federation of India, said that not only employees but even the banks had not been reimbursed by the government for the cost incurred on recalibration of ATMs. Criticising demonetisation, Biswas doubted that the whole exercise was done to unearth black money as claimed by the government. “The annual report of the RBI revealed that Rs 15.28 lakh crore, or 99 per cent of Rs 15.44 lakh crore of scrapped notes, came back into the system after demonetisation. Now the question arises: was the demonetisation scheme designed to convert black money into white?” Biswas wondered. He said the government had described it as a fight against black money, funding of terrorist outfits and counterfeit currency. “But all their claims have fallen flat,” he said.
“The scrapping of notes failed miserably in addressing its objective of striking a blow against the black economy. Instead, the side effect of the note ban has impacted the banking industry adversely,” said Das, who is also the West Bengal State Secretary for the union. The massive inflows of bank notes put a strain on the banks’ daily operations and banking personnel were not able to focus on credit disbursement, which resulted in potential loss of banks’ income, Das said, adding that bank credit growth came down to about 5.1 per cent in 2016-17 from an average of 11.72 per cent in the previous five years.
The apex bank too has mentioned that banks’ preoccupation with exchange of notes and deposits was one the factors for low credit growth. “Credit growth touched a low in more than two decades on account of factors such as subdued state of economic activity, risk aversion of the banking sector… loan repayment by use of specified bank notes (old notes) and banks’ pre-occupation with exchange of notes and deposits following demonetisation,” said the RBI’s latest annual report.
D. Thomas Franco Rajendra Dev, General Secretary of the All India Bank Officers Confederation, said that, initially, they had welcomed the government’s move. “But it turned out to be a nightmare for the bankers.” He said people thought bankers were at fault for not disbursing the new notes, but “the RBI supplied new currencies only to private banks daily and not to government-owned banks”. Dev said the government should probe whether new notes found their way into the hands of industrialists and businessmen directly from the currency printing presses.
But some senior bank officers differ with the unions about the impact of demonetisation on the economy in the long run. “Right now people are complaining, but one thing is certain that (huge) money has come into circulation. Banks have accessed low-cost deposits and, subsequently, lenders have reduced the lending rates,” said Punjab National Bank Executive Director Sanjiv Sharan. One year down the line, economic conditions would improve, and with the government’s thrust on low-cost housing and infrastructure development, credit demand would grow, he added. “For the time being it may seem that demonetisation is disturbing the economy. But in the long run, it will help it,” Sharan contended.
 (Coutesy Financial Express
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Expect more relief in GST, PM Narendra Modi hints ahead of council meet

    Expect more relief in GST, PM Narendra Modi hints ahead of council meet

Most changes to the goods and services tax (GST) regime suggested by a panel of state finance ministers to help small businesses and traders could be endorsed by the GST Council at its next meeting on November 9 and 10, Prime Minister Narendra Modi hinted on Saturday.

By:  | New Delhi | Updated: November 5, 2017 5:21 AM


modi, modi on gst, gst council meeting, expectation from gst council meeting
PM Narendra Modi. (PTI)
Most changes to the goods and services tax (GST) regime suggested by a panel of state finance ministers to help small businesses and traders could be endorsed by the GST Council at its next meeting on November 9 and 10, Prime Minister Narendra Modi hinted on Saturday. He also expressed confidence that India’s rank in the World Bank’s ease of doing business ranking will improve even further once the GST is taken into account from next year.
“I am happy to say that the ministers’ committee, set up by the GST Council, is addressing all the issues raised by small traders and almost all the suggestions made by the small businesses are being accepted positively. If no state raises objections in the GST Council meeting on November 9 and 10, I am confident whatever changes are required to strengthen the businesses and the broader economy will be done,” Modi said, addressing the gathering at an event at the Pravasi Bhartiya Kendra in the capital. While a reduction in tax rates for several items under the highest 28% slab is expected, the group of state finance ministers has recommended that all taxpayers be allowed to file detailed returns on a quarterly — instead of monthly — basis while they continue to make the tax payments every month.
Also, all restaurants should pay a 12% tax instead of having to follow two sets of rates (currently, air-conditioned restaurants pay GST at 18%, while the levy is 12% for non-air-conditioned ones). However, the uniform 12% rate will come with the removal of the input tax credit facility. Also, the benign composition scheme that allows the businesses to pay tax as small percentage of turnover instead of the item-wise GST rates may be made available to units with turnover of up to Rs 1.5 crore as against Rs 1 crore now. The composition scheme may be made accessible to units with intra-state sales as well.
Modi said the country’s rank in ease of doing business has climbed 42 places in the last three years, including the unprecedented 30-notch jump in the latest ranking to 100th of 190 nations. He said the GST not just integrated the nation of 1.2 billion into one market with one tax rate, but also offered a stable and transparent tax regime. The Prime Minister said while the jump is impressive, he does not want to sleep over it with contentment, but intends to push everyone concerned to achieve even greater heights. “There are many other reforms that have already happened, but need gestation and stabilisation time before they are taken into account by the World Bank. There are a few other reforms where our team and the World Bank team need to find common ground,” Modi said.
Courtesy Financial Express

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Indian Economy On A "Very Solid Track" Says IMF Chief Lagarde


Christine Lagarde described demonetisation and Goods and Services Tax (GST) - as a monumental effort by India.

Washington: Days after the International Monetary Fund lowered its growth forecast for the current and the next year, IMF chief Christine Lagarde today said the Indian economy is on a "very solid track" in the mid-term.

"Turning to India...we have slightly downgraded India; but we believe that India is for the medium and long-term on a growth track that is much more solid as a result of the structural reforms that have been conducted in India in the last couple of years," the IMF Managing Director Lagarde said.

Describing the two major recent reforms in India - demonetisation and Goods and Services Tax (GST) - as a monumental effort, Lagarde said it is hardly surprising that there "is a little bit of a short-term slowdown" as a result.




"But for the medium term, we see a very solid track ahead for the Indian economy," she said to a question on India.

"We very much hope that the combination of fiscal, because the deficit has been reduced, inflation has been down significantly, and the structural reforms will actually deliver the jobs that the Indian population, particularly the young Indian people expect in the future," Lagarde said.

(Coutesy Economic Times & NDTV)

'Party Has Just Begun' For Indian Stock Funds, Says Morgan Stanley

'Party Has Just Begun' For Indian Stock Funds, Says Morgan Stanley

The S&P Sensex index is trading at 20 times projected earnings for the current year,

 the highest level in 7 years


The recent flood of cash into Indian stock funds is just the beginning, as the nation's growing savings chase equity returns amid decreasing appetite for gold, property and fixed income, according to Morgan Stanley.

"We've just started, the party has just begun," said Ridham Desai, managing director at Morgan Stanley India Co. Pvt. The nation's total financial savings are still low at 9 percent of the GDP compared with a peak of 14.5 percent about 8 years ago, and the government's push for pension funds to invest in stocks should drive flows even higher, Desai said at a press conference on Wednesday in Mumbai.

Inflows to Indian stock funds have remained positive for 17 straight months, starting in April 2016 and reaching an all-time high of 204 billion rupees ($3.1 billion) in August. In turn, domestic funds were net purchasers of Indian equities for 13 consecutive months, touching a record 179 billion rupees in August.

This liquidity has helped offset the negative impact from overseas investors, who are poised for a fourth straight month of net selling in September amid valuation concerns. Sentiment worsened after the latest quarterly GDP data showed that the economy grew at the slowest pace in more than three years.

The S&P Sensex index is trading at 20 times projected earnings for the current year, the highest level in 7 years, and higher than the S&P 500's multiple of 19 times. Part of the reason is that Indian corporate profits have been hit by India's decision to replace 86 percent of its currency bills in November as well as the introduction of a new national goods and services tax (GST) in July. At the same time, money has poured into stocks amid low interest rates on bonds and declining appeal for property and gold in the wake of demonetization.



Still, Morgan Stanley believes that Indian stocks aren't very expensive, and it expects a rebound in economic growth and company earnings.

"If we look at Indian stocks relative to the interest rates and relative to other markets, actually the valuations are not at all stretched," Desai said. "We are fairly sanguine about earnings as the dust settles down on GST in the next 12 months, and it's quite possible that the government's revenue collection exceeds targets, setting the stage for higher spending that will be eventually good for growth," he said.

Morgan Stanley estimates earnings for Sensex companies will rise 11 percent in the year ending March 2018 and 19 percent in the next financial year. It sees the country's economy growing at an average 7.1 percent annually for the next 10 years.

"India has successfully institutionalized equity savings, and the domestic flows have stood the tests of disrupting events such as demonetization and the GST," Desai said. "I don't think the structural nature of these flows will change, though there will be cyclical ups and downs."

(Coutesy Economic Times)

Sunday, July 24, 2016

PAYMENTS BANKS IN INDIA: BANKING ON THE UNBANKED


After a series of setbacks—like the recent withdrawal of three ‘in-principle’ licence-holders, eventually leaving only eight in the fray—the concept of payments banks seems to be finally inching closer to reality

CLOSE TO a year after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) gave ‘in-principle’ licences to 11 entities (only eight are in the fray now) to launch payments banks in the country, the concept seems to be finally inching closer to reality. Several licence-holders are accelerating preparations for the launch of their ambitious payments banks—a financial ecosystem that is said to redefine banking and push for India’s journey into a cashless economy. On June 30, Reliance Industries (RIL) signed a shareholder agreement with banking major State Bank of India (SBI) to set up their payments bank joint venture. The two entities had, in February this year, entered into a non-binding memorandum of understanding to set out the principal terms. This would bring together the nation’s largest banking network and a pan-India telecom and retail set-up. While RIL signed the subscription and shareholders’ agreement as the promoter with 70% equity contribution, SBI will contribute the remaining 30%.

A few weeks before that, the Union Cabinet approved a proposal to set up India Post Payments Bank (IPPB) as a public limited company under the department of posts with 100% government equity. The total corpus of the payments bank is R800 crore, which will have R400 crore equity and R400 crore grant. As per then telecom minister Ravi Shankar Prasad,650 branches of the postal payments bank will be set up initially across India, which will be linked to rural post offices—India has 1.54 lakh post offices, of which 1.39 lakh are rural ones. The IPPB will obtain a banking licence from the RBI by March next year and, by September that year, all 650 branches of the postal payments bank will become operational, say reports. All geared up Noida-based Paytm, another in-principle licence-holder, is all set to launch its payments bank before Diwali and
is readying a budget of  R350-500 crore to roll out the venture, say reports. “We are looking at launching some time between August and November. Our goal is to stay focused on our twin objectives: to digitise cash and to provide access to small-income households,” says Shinjini Kumar, CEO-designate, Paytm Payments Bank.

A former RBI executive and former partner at global consultancy firm PricewaterhouseCoopers, Kumar was brought into the fold of the Alibaba-backed mobile wallet and e-commerce firm to head its payments bank in March this year. She is expected to build a 2,500-strong team to roll out the venture. “We expect the benefits from this inclusive digitisation will accrue to the users of financial services, who have traditionally not been serviced due to high costs of distribution and associated risks of not having enough data points to understand consumer behaviour,” she adds.
In the first week of June, Airtel Payments Bank appointed Shashi Arora as the CEO and managing director of the company subject to the approval of the RBI. He replaced Manish Khera, who reportedly left the company to pursue an entrepreneurial journey. In an official statement, Airtel Payments Bank chairman Sunil Bharti Mittal said, “I am delighted to announce the appointment of Shashi Arora as the CEO and MD designate of the bank… I am confident that under Shashi’s leadership, our launch plans will gather further momentum, and we look forward to delivering an outstanding banking experience to millions of customers across the country.” Only in April this year, the telecom major’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Airtel M Commerce Services—as Airtel Payments Bank was known before being re-branded in May—became the first to be issued a payments bank licence by the RBI.

In February, Kotak Mahindra Bank signed an agreement to pick a 19.9% stake for R98.38 crore in Airtel M Commerce Services. After having gained a national footprint post its acquisition of ING Vysya Bank towards the end of 2014, Kotak Mahindra Bank is setting its eyes on grabbing a large pie of the payments bank business. The new payments bank will help Kotak Mahindra—the fourth-largest private-sector bank by assets—to break new ground among the unbanked and expand its reach in the huge rural market.

Concerns & challenges

The concept of payments banks came into being when, in February 2015, the RBI released the list of entities that had applied for a payments bank licence. There were 41 applicants. After examining the applicant entities for their financial track record and governance issues, the RBI finally gave ‘in-principle’ licenses to 11 entities to launch payments banks on August19,2015.However, by May this year, three applicants—Tech Mahindra, Cholamandalam Finance and Dilip Shanghvi-IDFC Bank-Telenor JV—dropped out, leaving only eight in the fray: India Post, Airtel Payments Bank, Reliance Industries, Paytm Payments Bank, Aditya Birla Nuvo, Vodafone M-Pesa, Fino PayTech and National Securities Depository.

The ‘in-principle’ licence would be valid for 18 months from the day of granting, within which the entities must fulfill the requirements—they are not allowed to engage in any banking activity within that period. The RBI was to consider granting full licences under Section 22 of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, after it was satisfied that the conditions were fulfilled.

This is for the first time in the history of India’s banking sector that the RBI has given out differentiated licences for specific activities. The move is seen as a major step in pushing financial inclusion in the country. The RBI expects payments banks to target India’s migrant labourers, low-income households and small businesses, offering savings accounts and remittance services with a low transaction cost.

Why are then some firms shying away from their plans? “The fundamental premise was that we needed differentiated financial institutions—more nimble and focused—to unleash financial innovation and inclusion in India. Payments (banks) could be the ‘highway’ on which other financial services could ride,” says Varad Pande, a partner at Dalberg Global Development Advisors, a global strategic advisory firm that works to raise living standards in developing countries and address global challenges. Pande also co-leads Dalberg’s financial inclusion practice area. “The RBI deliberately gave licences to a wide range of applicants, as it didn’t want to pre-judge where innovation would come from. So we had telcos, NBFCs, wallet players and India Post in the picture. It is true that since payments banks won’t be able to disburse loans, their net interest income will be limited. So traditional banking economics isn’t so attractive. As some licensees delved deeper, they found that the economics didn’t make much sense for them or that there were other priorities they wanted to pursue,” explains Pande.

Clearing the air on its withdrawal from the payments bank race, IDFC Bank MD and CEO Rajiv Lall had recently said they were still open to any kind of partnerships, including for a payments bank. “Telenor, one of our significant partners, is re-evaluating its strategic footprint in India. So that was one factor. Likewise, (their other partner, industrialist) Dilip Shanghvi was also reviewing the competitive landscape that a payments bank would unveil in India, re-visiting his earlier plan for such a bank. We had been planning to put together a business plan in the light of what we learnt about the competition as it began to unfold. I would say a combination of all these reasons led us to not pursue,” he was quoted as saying in a media interview.
Of late, the industry is also talking about profitability and rising competition, among several other reasons. Is there really a cause for concern? “Competition is not a point to worry about. In fact, with 97% cash transactions in the economy and with a fast-growing population of smartphone and data users, we think everyone who does their bit to make the system cashless will help by shaping behaviour and reducing cash. In that sense, our competition is with cash,” says Kumar of Paytm Payments Bank.

As per Kumar, that is also her major challenge because while cash can be acquired, exchanged and used by anyone for any purpose, digital money can only be accessed after KYC (‘know your customer’, the process of a business verifying the identity of its clients) and requires behavioural change on handling security, etc. “Unfortunately, despite tall claims, policymakers have higher comfort with paper than with the digital medium. e-KYC is our commitment, but in many of our target geographies, data availability and Aadhaar penetration are not seamless. Traditional approach to KYC and cash management remain the biggest challenges. If we have the same requirements as large banks and can’t play to our digital connect with the consumer through the mobile, it is not easy to truly differentiate and achieve a different level of scale,” she adds.

Courtesy Financial Express and By: Kunal Doley | New Delhi |




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